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Sunday, June 10, 2012

Rule of Run Expectancy Yet to Reach Oklahoma

To the best of my knowledge, Chickasaw Ballpark at Bricktown does not have a run expectancy board included in its scoreboard. The absence of a such a feature is a good thing, because it would have been broken during the RedHawks' 12-7 home loss to New Orleans Saturday night.

With the RedHawks leading the game 7-6, Oklahoma City reliever Jose Valdez retired the first two Zephyr batters in the top of the ninth inning. Any faithful decision scientists at the game started to log out and put away their lap tops, as the expectancy of New Orleans scoring even ONE in this situation was miniscule.

However, the Zephyrs' bats had another probability in mind. Before Valdez left the mound without recording the third out, he allowed two singles, two doubles, one triple and an intentional walk. Jimmy Paredes also committed a throwing error behind the RedHawks' closer. All told, a highly unexpected six runs had crossed the plate for the Zephyrs. Sergio Perez relieved Valdez with Oklahoma City trailing 12-7.

Oklahoma City's J.B. Shuck walked and moved to second base on a passed ball to lead off the bottom of the ninth inning. However, nothing else out of the ordinary happened and the visiting Zephyrs left the ballpark with a win.

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